The Bulls are in trouble.
I understand this season wasn't supposed to matter. I was
out in front, making the clarion call, letting everyone know Chicago was
mainly looking forward to the summer of 2010 to take that next step, and that
the team would be well pleased with sneaking into the lower end of the Eastern
playoff bracket this year, possibly taking in an extra few bullet points to
provide to any potential free-agent signings, along with that always desirable
playoff revenue.
And here we are, in the second week of March, watching the Bulls
try to sneak into the lower rung of the playoff bracket, full of expiring
contracts, looking forward to next summer. So what's the difference? Why the
worry?
Because that shot at the playoffs? That, "at-least-they'll-be-first-round-fodder" ideal that made all this salary clearing and
forward thinking palatable to their fans? It's sliding away.
The Bulls are 31-32 with a game in Orlando Thursday night,
already a full game out of the East's top eight. They've lost five straight,
Joakim Noah(notes) is still weeks away from returning from a bout of plantar fasciitis
(and history tells us he won't be right until the offseason, anyway, with that
malady), Luol Deng(notes) is out and suffering through right calf and left knee issues,
and the schedule is about to get nasty.
Real nasty. Counting Thursday's loss to game with Orlando, 14 of the Bulls' final 19 games are against teams .500 or better. And it's not as if Chicago has its way with the mediocre
ones. Teams like Memphis, Houston and Miami still give Chicago fits, and they'll
more than have their way with the Bulls if Noah is gimpy (that's an absolute
certainty), and Luol Deng is trying to muddle through yet another injury-plagued
year.
All the signs for a flameout are there. Vinny Del Negro is
hardly the coach you want navigating a team through times of Strum und Drang,
and Chicago's lone strength (it's ability to contest shots and play sound
defense) is falling apart with Noah's injury and the (pound-wise,
penny-foolish) trade that sent Tyrus Thomas(notes) to the Charlotte Bobcats.
Chicago has gone from sixth in defensive efficiency to 11th
over the course of this five-game swoon. The team, as currently presented, is a
miserable defensive outfit with some of the worst individual defenders at their
respective positions (Derrick Rose(notes), Brad Miller(notes), Hakim Warrick(notes)) having to take
on extra duty and play roles that they're just not suited for. With Thomas gone
and Noah and Deng out, Chicago just doesn't have the length to contest nor the
foot speed to stay with opponents, and the results have been pretty terrible
over the last two weeks.
Worse, though Chicago has seen the light offensively at
times over the last few games, this is still a terrible offensive team that
doesn't get to the line, can't shoot straight from long range and has a
miserable time getting easy interior looks.
Even after a hot March, the Bulls are 27th in offensive efficiency
this season, about where they've been all year. With Deng and his 18 points per
game having to take a seat in favor of undistinguished rookie James Johnson(notes),
this only figures to get worse.
It's not pretty, and while the focus for the last two years
has been to clear cap space and build around some combination of Derrick Rose,
Deng and Noah starting this summer, it still burns a bit to see the final
playoff spot fall just short of Chicago's grasp. And though the Bulls will have
a game in Charlotte on the last night of the regular season to try and make
things right, if the team is two games out of the playoff bracket by
then, what will it matter?
We need a patient tone, I understand, because 2009-10 isn't
supposed to count. But I don't think even the most dour of the ardent Bulls followers,
to say nothing of the team's front office, expected this team to fall short of
the top eight in the miserable East.
But with 14 of the next 19 games coming against teams
with winning records, last year's starting frontcourt gone to either North
Carolina or the sidelines, and a coach that really hasn't proven much of
anything in his 144 games at the helm, this is a reality that
Bulls fans will likely have to warm to.